Author Topic: Euro  (Read 106259 times)

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Offline M&M

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Re: Euro
« Sticky post on: January 13, 2012, 08:33:52 PM »

« Last Edit: July 20, 2012, 10:28:16 PM by M&M »
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Re: Euro
« Reply #499 on: January 13, 2012, 08:33:52 PM »

Offline Rizwan khan

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Re: Euro
« Reply #500 on: January 22, 2017, 05:19:00 PM »


EJ mai humne dekha k peechle kuch dino mai kafi zada pick up hua ha aur 122/123 k bech mai rahi. Abhe hum dekh sakte hain k SAR indicator mai naya signal bana ha bullish k aur yahi trend jari rehne ka imkan hain.

Offline Ahmedkhan

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Re: Euro
« Reply #501 on: February 22, 2017, 11:49:41 PM »
Filhaal Euro mai movement kafi gir rahi ha kiu k political khas tor pay elections ka boht issue main ha to is mai filhaal to sell karna theek lag rah ha. Mai hamesha hi market ko follow karta hoon jis mai asani rehti ha OctaFX broker ki waja se jo boht help karte hain khas tor pay kam spreads, tez execution aur ise bhe bari baat k inki free daily market updates facility ha jis se hum sukoon se kam kar sakte hain.

Offline Rizwan khan

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Re: Euro
« Reply #502 on: February 23, 2017, 05:03:04 PM »


EUR/USD mai humne dekha k pair bearish trend mai chalrahi ha aur SAR indicator mai bhe hume dikhrah ha k yahi trend jari rahi ga to abhe acha mauka hoga sell karne ka agar pair thora pickup karti ha magar hume careful rehna hoga.

Offline Rizwan khan

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Re: Euro
« Reply #503 on: February 23, 2017, 05:12:11 PM »


EUR/JPY mai humne dekha k pair boht zada giri khas tor pay kal aur yahi trend jari rehne ki umeed lag rahi ha. Filhaal agar hume koi trade laganie ha to ya acha time hoga k hum buy pay jai kiu k ise zada chance ha profit kamane ka.

Offline SameerKhan

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Re: Euro
« Reply #504 on: May 19, 2017, 02:37:57 PM »
Is pair mai abhe kuch keh nahi sakte k kidhar movement hogi kiu k rate hike ka boht shor chalrah ha to hume ya chezo ko dimagh mai rakh k chalna hoga. Tabhi mai OctaFX broker k sath kam kar rah hoon aur in ki madad se boht asani se profit kama sakta hoon phir chahe kam spread ki waja se ho ya deposit bonus ya phir aur kuch ya sab help karta ha hume trading karne mai aur achi tara earning kar sakte hain.

Offline Mirza Baig

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Re: Euro
« Reply #505 on: August 23, 2017, 04:26:58 PM »
Abhe market ki situation boht hi different ha aur is hi lia koi bhe trade lagane se pehle boht dekhna pare ga. Mai hamesha proper planning pay dhyan deta hoon aur is lia achi tara se income kama leta hon. Is mai sab se zada asani OctaFX jese broker ki madad se hoti ha jin k sath 50% deposit bonus tak milta ha jo istemal bhe keya ja sakta ha aur bina koi restriction k. Is k ilawa in ki customer service bhe boht ala ha jo 24/5 ghante active ha.

Offline Rizwan khan

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Re: Euro
« Reply #506 on: December 01, 2018, 09:03:50 PM »
Filhaal market ki halat boht kharab ha to hume boht hi dekh k koi bhe fasla karna hoga. Mai to jab bhe trade karta hoon to hamesha pehle puri tara se analysis karta hoon aur is k ilawa mera broker FreshForex ha jis ki analysis bhe follow karta hoon to ya chezo se aram se banda decision le sakta ha.

Offline Anila

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Re: Euro
« Reply #507 on: November 26, 2019, 07:50:15 PM »
Currency Couples: How to Trading Them?

Did you know that monetization opportunities are not limited to your preferred EUR / USD, GBP / USD and USD / JPY trading? Additionally, a currency pair can be made without US dollars? In this article, we are going to introduce you to what is called "currency cross payer". You will be able to find the special features of these pairs and learn how to trade and avoid errors.

What is currency cross-currency?

After the end of World War II and the destruction of the gold standard, many currencies were quoted in US dollars, which was a fix on gold. When a person wants to convert money to a different currency, they need to convert that money to USD and then to the desired currency. Fortunately, currency crossovers were discovered. It allows the currency to be converted directly to the desired currency, leaving behind a way to convert to US dollars. In general, a currency cross-currency (cross-currency, cross) is a pair of currencies in the Forex market, USD not included. With FBS, you can trade AUD / CAD, EUR / GBP, CHF / JPY, EUR / NZD, and many more.

How is the currency cross rate calculated?

It is important to understand how these types of piers are made. Let's take EUR / GBP. We need to look at the GBP / USD and EUR / USD bid prices to calculate the EUR / GBP bid price. Why do we choose this couple? This is because they have a quote from the USD currency.

GBP / USD: 1.2887 (bid) / 1.2889 (ask)

EUR / USD: 1.1286 (bid) / 1.1287 (ask)

To calculate the EUR / GBP bid rate we need to split the base currency bid on the quoted currency:

EUR / GBP (bid) = 1.1286 / 1.2889 = 0.8756

For the asking rate, we need to split the basic currency ask on the quote currency bid.

EUR / GBP (ask) = 1.1287 / 1.2887 = 0.8758

Sounds difficult? Many brokers, including FBS, automatically calculate the cross rate and spread size for you. However, you do not need to remember the formula above. This!


Which currency pairs can you choose?

Cross currency piers are divided into three groups.

The first group - CrossPre commonly traded majors (EUR, JPY and GBP). They have a good disposition, which can be compared to the major currency pair. It appears that many traders traded them and the chance of unexpected price jumps is low. You can trade, for example, EUR / GBP, GBP / JPY, CHF / JPY.

The second group combines the currency crossings called "unclear" as very few traders trade them. They do not contain EUR, JPY or GBP. These facts make their price movements very variable. Let's look at the NZD / CAD chart. We can see long blush and bearish candlesticks. This makes the next move by setting the next movement on the price volatility trader. You need to be careful while trading them and do a thorough analysis.


After all, they are a foreign exchange cross-currency couple. They contain emerging market currency. With FBS you can trade exotic crosses such as CHN / JPY, EUR / TRY, and EUR / CNH. As with other groups, you need to be careful when trading them and don't forget to use a stop loss.

Why do you need currency cross-currency trading?

• It allows you to easily do basic trading. If the major EUR release releases the EUR upward and the USD is strengthened, this results in a flat EUR / USD response. Currency pairs can help you to benefit from the EUR. But it is very important for the currency selected in the country to follow all the political and economic changes. Low awareness can lead you to loss.


Now let's look at the EUR / GBP chart. We know that the British economy grows during the uncertainty of Brexit. That is why EUR is stronger than GBP. We see that it is easy for the couple to pull the upper trend here, as EUR pushes the couple up. That's why we can benefit from the strong Eurozone release.


• You can trade on interest rate differences (keep trading strategy)

You can earn money by selling the lowest interest rate currency to the highest interest rate country currency. This strategy is called carry trade strategy. Learn how to apply it to your trading   Our Article:

• It helps you to trade in major currency

Currency crosses help you identify the relative strength of each major currency pair. Suppose you look at buying signals for both EUR / USD and GBP / USD, but you can only trade one currency. EUR / GBP cross-analysis will help you select the most complete position for long. If the trend is bullish for a couple, it shows that EUR is currently stronger than GBP. So you need to buy EUR / USD instead of GBP / USD. However, GBP is weaker than the EUR, if against the USD is stronger, it will be less than the Euro. As a result, the EUR / USD will rise much higher than the British Pound when the USD weakens.

Example

On the chart below EUR / USD and GBP / USD, we have noted that MACD has made a blush spread, which is a good buy signal. But we only have to choose one pair.


 We decide to check EUR / GBP for other signals. The couple is moving up. Which means that the EUR is stronger than the British Pound. If the currency is strong, you will make more pips in EUR / USD than GBP / USD when trading.


Result

Now you see that trading cross currency is not a "stylish" way for a trader. They help you fully understand any movement in the market and provide you with the opportunity to trade in one currency and offer more opportunities.

 

Offline Anila

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Re: Euro
« Reply #508 on: November 27, 2019, 08:30:44 PM »
Unexpected forecasts 2019


Everyone wants to know what to expect from the new year. Traders cannot be excluded. This time we have created something new and exciting for you. We understand that it is a pleasure to talk about what you can expect yourself. So we have compiled events that no one expects, but they can happen in 2019 and cause market volatility.

Donald Trump - Probably one of the most interesting US presidents!
Mr. Trump can be called the most charismatic, unpredictable, amazing man of 2018. Trade wars, oil market crashes, sanctions, the new NAFTA all say this about the US president. Ever since he took office, Trump has tried to roll back foreign policy enforced by Barack Obama. Along with having a strong attitude when it comes to foreign policy, Trump sought to implement interesting strategies in the technology, energy, and finance sectors that are considered to be the cornerstone of the US economy. While Trump and his policy have also been subject to criticism, the US economy has grown enormously during its presidency.

The trade war was one of Donald Trump's most important powerplays he did in 2018. Saying that the United States was losing too much money by trading with China, Trump imposed a lot of tariffs. Looking at US-China trading data, we can say that Trump's point was OK. Although many experts have predicted a decline in the US economy due to tariffs, the actual figures appear to be the opposite. Further, during this trade war, the US dollar was considered as a secure asset.

We think Mr. Trump's remarkable strategy will remain the same in 2019. We can expect more stories on "Iranian sanctions" and Middle East issues. The rising budget for the Pentagon for 2019 is an important signal that global crises may increase. If Trump continues his strategy, we may be in a year where the level of risk cannot be reduced. It can lead to the loss of risky assets. This will increase the demand for secured assets, and allow us to see a sharp rise in the value of gold.



Is EUR / USD Pair Equity Possible?
2018 is considered one of the features of increasing interest rates in the United States. For half of the year, the US currency became a lucrative currency for carrying trade due to uncertainty from other countries and their weaker interest rates.

However, the situation may be different in 2019. Despite the Fed's expectation of a 3.50% increase in 2019-2020, the US economy may slow down in the midst of a global declaration environment. This will negatively impact national debt. As a result, the United States will need cheaper money to pay off its debt. Such monetary policy returns will lead to a slide in US dollars.

Another important factor is that we must keep political uncertainty in mind. Donald Trump may discriminate against large traders to keep their short positions in the US dollar longer.

On the other hand, at the end of 2018, the European Central Bank has gradually reduced its quantitative easing policy. As a result, in 2019, for the first time in many years, the ECB is expected to raise interest rates to support the euro. The euro is also likely to be set as the main currency of trade for the rest of the world.

Keeping all the above elements in mind, we can say that in 2019 EUR / USD may be far from equilibrium. If all of the above prospects are met, the euro could push the USD to 1.30.


The volatility of the financial market will push the gold market to $ 1480 / ounce in Q3 of 2019.
America's economy is booming in 2018. In the second quarter of 2018, US GDP growth reached 4.2%, the largest level since the third quarter of 2014. The unemployment rate hit the lowest level in nearly 50 years, while the number of jobs rose to 25,000 in October and the average income rose 3.1%, the highest increase in 10 years.

However, economic growth in 2019 may not be as bright as it was in 2018. It seems that Mr. Trump's policy is very effective, but he is taking the risk of success without ignoring the great cost of his policy by ignoring it for a long time. The current policy could destabilize the global financial system. In 2018, the world's financial market was in chaos and the beginning of a complete catastrophe. Finally, the dollar can accelerate power outages.

What about the feed?

Strong US economy The Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 4 times in 2018. However, we all know that Mr. Trump is not satisfied with the current Fed's monetary policy. There is a risk that if the Federal Reserve does not change its pace, the chairman will be fired. However, Mr. President alone does not stress monetary policy. There are many cautious rate talks that take place in FOMC members. However, it does not matter whether the Fed accelerates or expels the Chairman, it will hurt the USD.

Will the weakness in the US dollar cause the gold market to accelerate?

The rising dollar was one of the reasons for the fall in gold. However, there are many reasons to say that the US dollar will lose its position in 2019. In addition, Gold has agreed to play the role of a secure asset in 2018. As we said earlier, the global financial market will be very affected during 2019-2020 as the trade war will increase. In view of these risks in the world, there will be a better situation for the gold market. As a result, the XAU / USD pair may reach $ 1480 / ounce in the third quarter of 2019.


Just hope for Crypto
In our view, these are the most popular questions in the crypto community: "Will Bitcoin recover its price next year" or "Will Bitcoin reach $ 2000"? Let's shed some light on the future of cryptocurrency in 2019.

Old cryptocurrency has done a lot of damage in 2018, falling from a high of $ 17200 in January to a low of $ 3200 in December. There were several reasons for the downturn in this market, as analysts are very scared of the high tax rates on digital assets. After the signing of Donald Trump's tax plan, which enabled all crypto assets to be taxed, investors lost confidence in their holdings, which in turn led to the sale of crypto.

A new trick of Mr. Trump?

Ironically, the big banks consider Trump's action to be an important factor that will push Bitcoin's price rise in early 2019. After facing possible discrimination (yes it is possible), Trump can seek public sympathy by announcing a taxpayer tax return. According to analysts, he has been suffering for a while by investing in bitcoin in 2017. It will make crypto and blockchain the best base for trade relations in the US and other countries. That's why Bitcoin prices are expected to rise to $ 10,000 in February-April 2019.

However, this happiness may not last long. According to recent news, Iran, which is a currency accepting crypto, plans to use cryptocurrency to ignore US connections from June 2019. They will follow Venezuela's approach and make their currency at a crude price. Iran will gradually use the US dollar to conduct oil operations. If Iran makes that possible, it will frustrate the US president in crypto assets. A further reaction would bring the bitcoin price back to around $ 6000.



What if the RBA simplified its monetary policy?
The Reserve Bank of Australia has withheld interest rates since August 2016. In addition, this is not a rate hike since November 2010. The interest rate does not change, with the central bank explaining the positive effect of weak AUD on the economic data.

What does the market expect?

Although the RBA claims uncertainty and continuity of monetary policy continuity, the market expects rate hikes in 2019, and even if rate inflation does not occur in 2019, 2020, it should increase.

But what if the central bank becomes more frustrated and lowers interest rates?

This can happen for 4 reasons. The first reason is the poor economic data. Despite the fact that the Central Bank helps boost the Australian dollar's low-rate economy, actual figures do not confirm this. Falling home prices, weak inflation, and a drastic decline in the Australian economy are important factors in reducing interest rates.

The second reason is the potential escalation of the trade war. The trade war between the US and China is very negative for the Australian dollar because China is Australia's largest trading partner. As a result, the central bank's cautious voice may prevail.

Third, the global economy is at risk of deterioration. Therefore, the risk of appetite risk may be larger than in 2018. The global economy's volatility and AUD's plunge could allow the Reserve Bank to simplify its policy.

The feed monetary policy is last but not least. The Federal Reserve increases interest rates significantly in 2018. However, the risk is that this pace will decrease in 2019. As a result, interest rate differences will be reduced, allowing the RBA to maintain its loose monetary policy. Furthermore, as the Central Bank has been keeping interest rates unchanged for over 2.5 years, it would not be surprising if the rate cut.

When can a fall be expected?

The Australian dollar / US dollar started recovering from October 2018. In the case of a rate cut, the recovery will be stopped. It would be possible to fall to 0.6345 in this situation.



 What if the UK and the EU? Failed to agree to the Brexit deal on March 29, 2019.
During 2018, the British Pound Brexit was under a lot of pressure from the Negoshi Aviation which it endured to this day and it was not surprising as the last date for the Negotiation is March 29, 2019. Time goes by but the contract goes away. The final parliamentary vote for the Brexit deal was planned on December 11, however, Theresa May cancels it. Why? Because the PM knows the deal will be unacceptable. As a result, negotiations with the EU may be returned.

Worst prospects for the UK.

The first scenario is the second referendum. While Mistress May does not take into account the possibility of another referendum, it can happen. The second referendum has led to further uncertainty for the market and also a breakdown in the UK government. In addition, the results of the referendum can be unpredictable. If there is a decision that the UK can still leave the EU, the country will return to where it was before. If people vote to stay in the EU, the British government may collapse.

Another scenario is already connected. The UK may decide to remain in the EU without a referendum. Do you think it will support GBP? it is very difficult. The British economy and the pound are at a disadvantage because of the Brexit deal. If, in the end, the country does not get a deal, the UK Government will crash which will have a negative impact on the British currency.

The third and worst scenario is "no deal". The UK has been fighting for Bridget since June 2016. If the UK fails to reach an agreement with the EU, it will be another term of the British pound and will continue as long as there is a certainty of a relationship between the parties.

Coming to a conclusion, we can say that if the UK and EU cannot come to an agreement, the British government, the economy, and the pound will crash.


2019 will be a challenging year for oil.
Volatile items are of great interest to traders. Let's look at the past and look at the future prospects and outline the oil supply in the future market.

2018 story

An oil price of over $ 100 a barrel in 2014 is an incredible luxury. In 2018, Brent managed to reach just $ 90. By the end of September, crude prices were rising. The market was supported by the reduction in the production of US sanctions on Iran, along with the Petroleum Export Organization countries (at least the OPEC) and its allies. President Donald Trump's upbeat tweets have led to unusual price fluctuations. After that, the factors that pushed the oil up proved to be wrong and the cost lost a third of its value.

In the next year

Although the balance of oil will rebound after OPEC announces new limits beginning in January, that support seems fragile. The oil exporter's agreement will be reviewed in April. At the same time, the United States will consider the expulsion given to eight countries for importing Iranian oil. Donald Trump has clearly expressed his desire that oil prices look as low as $ 80 for Brent and $ 70 for WTI. The US itself is pumping too much oil and will likely produce more in 2019. At the same time, the solid demand for oil by oil over the last few years can reduce global financial cheaper. As a result, excess supply is expected to keep crude prices under negative pressure, though demand will rise due to falling prices. All in all, there is a $ 70- $ 50 billion crude oil price range for 2019.

Worst case scenario: If OPEC is isolated

The most important principle of natural resource selection is considered to be best lived. It is clear that OPEC will either grow or disappear. Its countries are currently divided in the face of national differences and political disputes. Saudi Arabia and Iran hate each other, and Qatar has already left. Unlike the United States and Russia, OPEC countries do not take advantage of the low cost production. The trend is to eliminate OPEC's dependence on the global economy on oil. As a result, the block will lose its ability to influence market share and prices. What does it mean for the OPEC oil market to collapse? If centralized production declines, the rig will pull below the raw price and 50% of the price will cause a crash.


PS.: Do not forget that looking at these estimates we have thought of unexpected opportunities. They are not very likely but they can be, they can make significant changes in the market.



Offline Anila

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Re: Euro
« Reply #509 on: December 04, 2019, 06:40:40 PM »
Currency Market and Politics - Do They Have Any Relationship?

Have you ever noticed that political events affect markets more than economic statistics? Why does this happen and what political events should traders consider?

Why does politics affect the currency rate?

The answer is very simple: Investors put their money in strong countries whose economy is strong and their political system is very strong. Any kind of political uncertainty drops the currency. As a result, investors invest their money in strong currencies. Therefore, all of this affects the economy and causes domestic deprivation.

However, this does not mean that political risks are negative for traders. The great advantage of trading is that you make a profit not only on the strong currency but also on the weaker currency. The most important thing is to predict exactly how political events will affect the currency.

Which political events can affect markets?

It's time to look at the events and their impact on the markets.

1. Elections. Elections are one of the most important events that affect the country's currency. No matter what the new authorities will do for the country and the currency, the market considers the election a threat. Any kind of delay in the elections will make the currency fall because the delay means uncertainty. Unexpected results have the highest impact on the market, leading to high volatility.

Example. So far, US President Mr. Trump has been one of the most important political events in the world. And it started with their choice. After the victory of Mr. Trump announced that the US dollar and financial markets had collapsed. First, few people believe Mr. Trump will really become president. Second, markets do not know what to expect from businessmen in politics.

2. Social instability. When the locals are not happy with the government, it causes a loss of power, which can result in non-investment. Capitalism is always frightened by social disruption.

3. Cross-country conflicts represent another negative political event. This is one of the most dangerous events for the markets. It affects at least two currencies.

For example. Cross - The worst phase of a domestic dispute is sanctioned. One example is the US sanctions imposed on Russia, which proved to be a great diversion for the Russian ruble.

Another recent example is the decline in diplomatic relations between Saudi Arabia and Canada following the human rights dispute. As a result, Saudi Arabia expelled the Canadian ambassador, decided to evacuate thousands of students and medical patients from Canada, and prevented Saudi state airline flights from sending them to Toronto. The Canadian dollar lost positions because of such negative news.


4. Referendums - Anything that poses a threat to a country's alliance or political block, there is no doubt that it will affect the currency market.

For example. In September 2014, Scotland decided to hold a referendum to leave the UK. The British Pound was under tremendous pressure throughout the period before holding the referendum. The news was pounding down on the possible consequences of the referendum.

So far, the Brexit deal is the most significant event that affected the British pound more than any economic data, even though the referendum took place two years ago, although it still has a profound impact on GBP. Any uncertainty over the agreement between the UK and the EU will knock GBP down.

5. International Summit and Meetings.

Meeting with officials from different countries is always important. Traders may find any indication of the relationship between countries and the situation around the world. Market issues are most influenced by important issues such as the Greek crisis or Italy's further participation in the European Union.

For example, it is speculated that Italy may leave the European Union, leading to a moderate bourgeoisie trend for the Euro.

6. Speeches and comments of political officials.

Implements comments and addresses from market authorities. Sometimes their comments can change all market expectations.

For example, in January, when the US dollar was already weak and the market expected the Fed to support it, Finance Minister Stephen Manochan said a weak dollar was good for the United States. After such comments, USD sank and hit a session low.

Finally, we can say that economic events are good drivers for the currency market. An experienced trader can really benefit from any: positive or negative. Follow the news at fbs.com to make the correct prediction that the event affects the currency.

Note: It is generally not recommended to enter the market during significant events. The best strategy is to trade according to market expectations. See what the market expects and trade in that direction!